Sunday, 31 July 2022

China Evergrande Falls Short of Promised Restructuring Plan

·5 min read

(Bloomberg) -- China Evergrande Group, the world’s most indebted developer, failed to deliver a ‘preliminary restructuring plan’ it had promised by the end of July, fueling risks investors will grow more impatient just as a broader debt crisis in the nation’s property industry spreads.

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The beleaguered real estate giant presented instead what it called ‘preliminary restructuring principles’ for its offshore debt, in an exchange filing late Friday. The stakes are high, with some $20 billion in dollar bonds among total liabilities of about $300 billion. Any restructuring could be among China’s biggest ever.

Evergrande made no reference to the preliminary plan it had said as recently as June it expected to announce by the end of July. Investors had been waiting on that in hopes the proposal would provide clarity on debt extensions and asset sales. Instead they were told the developer would try to announce a specific restructuring plan within 2022.

Adding to setbacks, the company said in a filing Sunday that one of its units will need to sell shares of a bank in northeastern China, after losing an arbitration ruling and being ordered to pay about 7.31 billion yuan ($1.1 billion) in compensation. The lender in question is Shengjing Bank Co., in which Evergrande had already pared its stake last year.

The developments at Evergrande could fuel concern about the future of a firm whose fate has broader implications for China’s $50 trillion financial system and millions of home owners. Other builders have added to record defaults since last year after a government crackdown on excessive leverage and speculation on housing. Liquidity crunches have prompted developers to stall projects and leave fees unpaid. Unprecedented mortgage and loan boycotts have erupted from angry homebuyers and suppliers.

Concerning the Shengjing Bank shares, Evergrande Group (Nanchang) Co. had used the shares as collateral, which was claimed by an unidentified company after the unit failed to repay the loans, China Evergrande Group said in the filing Sunday.

The sheer size of Evergrande’s debt has left global investors worried that any collapse could spark financial contagion and curb growth in the world’s second-largest economy, which depends on the housing market for about a quarter of gross domestic product.

“The whole pyramid is collapsing now,” said Anne Stevenson-Yang, co-founder of J Capital Research Ltd. “What’s different is that things are worse now because of the Evergrande crisis a year ago, which is spreading its tentacles throughout the Chinese economy.”

Newly appointed Chief Executive Officer Shawn Siu said that Evergrande will focus on completing construction projects, and won’t sacrifice the interest of onshore investors, according to an interview with 21st Century Business Herald. When asked why the restructuring plan fell short of market expectations, Siu said that the company encountered complicated and challenging matters, asking for more patience.

Evergrande’s potential failure to follow its previously set timeline would be “negative for overall investor confidence, and sets the process on the wrong foot as it would dent Evergrande’s credibility further,” Jean-Louis Nakamura, the chief investment officer for the Asia Pacific region at Lombard Odier, told Bloomberg News earlier last week.

The development comes just days after a management shakeup stirred fresh uncertainties. The group said in July that former CEO Xia Haijun was forced to resign amid a company probe into how 13.4 billion yuan of deposits were used as security for third parties to obtain bank loans, which some borrowers then failed to pay back. Chief Financial Officer Pan Darong was also made to step down.

“The delay is not exactly a surprise to the market given that there was the negative development at Evergrande recently about the resignation of the CEO and the CFO,” said Zerlina Zeng, senior credit analyst from CreditSights.

The company itself said as recently as June that it was actively pushing forward with restructuring work and expected to announce the preliminary plan by the end of July.

The builder shook markets when it defaulted on dollar-bond payments late last year. It is also facing a winding-up lawsuit and resistance from creditors that could push it toward its first onshore default.

Evergrande said in the Friday filing that it may offer some assets outside of China to repay creditors, including shares of its electric vehicle and property management services. The restructuring will include the company’s offshore notes, debt obligations of its subsidiaries, and repurchase obligations by its unlisted online sales platform FCB Group, it said.

The builder said “the principle of fair treatment of creditors will be reflected in the restructuring proposal.”

President Xi Jinping’s government is trying to strike a balance between curbing debt at acquisitive and leveraged private companies, while limiting the economic fallout. Xi is seeking to rein in ballooning borrowings and the billionaire class as part of his “common prosperity” campaign to reduce a yawning wealth gap. That’s led to a record wave of dollar bond defaults by developers.

In one example of how this is all cascading, a group of small businesses and suppliers that said they’d stop paying their own debts blamed Evergrande for leaving them out of pocket.

China is considering a plan to seize undeveloped land from distressed real estate companies, using it to help finance the completion of stalled housing projects that have sparked mortgage boycotts across the country, according to people familiar with the matter.

The proposal, which is still under discussion and could change, would take advantage of Chinese laws allowing local governments to wrest back control of land sold to real estate companies if it remains undeveloped after two years, without compensation. That would give authorities more leeway to direct funds toward uncompleted homes, potentially to the detriment of creditors who would lose claims on some of developers’ most valuable assets.






China Conducted 'Live-Fire Exercises' Off Its Coast Opposite Taiwan




China said it conducted military exercises off its coast opposite Taiwan on Saturday.

What Happened: According to the official Xinhua News Agency, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army carried out “live-fire exercises” near the Pingtan islands off Fujian province from 8 a.m. to 9 p.m., AP news reported.

This came after China warned the U.S. sternly about Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s possible plans to visit the island nation, where it claims sovereignty. The warnings issued by China were significantly stronger than the threats it had made when it was previously unhappy with U.S. actions or policy on Taiwan.

Sources familiar with the situation told the Financial Times that the warnings included a possible military response.

Such “live-fire exercises” usually involve artillery. However, the one-liner announcement from Xinhua did not indicate whether the exercise included missiles, fighter planes, or other weapons. But the Maritime Safety Administration warned ships to avoid the area.

Pelosi stops in Hawaii and reveals her Asia plans. But no mention of Taiwan

Updated 0736 GMT (1536 HKT) July 31, 2022


US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Hong Kong (CNN)US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is heading to Asia for a tour of the region after landing in Hawaii, where she visited the Pearl Harbor Memorial and the USS Arizona.

Pelosi is leading a Congressional delegation to the Indo-Pacific and plans to visit places including Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan, according to a statement released by her office on Sunday.
The statement made no mention of Taiwan, despite speculation in recent days that Pelosi might be planning to visit the self-governing democracy of 24 million people.
    China's Communist Party, which claims Taiwan as part of its territory -- despite never having controlled it -- has warned against Pelosi visiting the island, and US President Joe Biden recently let slip that the US military thinks such a trip would be "not a good idea right now". However, US lawmakers on both sides of Washington's political divide have urged her to go.
      "Today, our Congressional delegation travels to the Indo-Pacific to reaffirm America's strong and unshakeable commitment to our allies and friends in the region," Pelosi said in the statement released by her office.
      She said high level meetings will be held in each country to "further advance our shared interests and values, including peace and security, economic growth and trade, the Covid-19 pandemic, the climate crisis, human rights and democratic governance."
      Pelosi said the delegation had received a briefing from United States Indo-Pacific Command leadership after a fuel stop in Hawaii, where they visited the Pearl Harbor Memorial and the USS Arizona.
          Traveling alongside Pelosi as part of the Congressional delegation are Chairman Gregory Meeks (Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee), Chairman Mark Takano (Chair of the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs), Congresswoman Suzan DelBene, Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi, and Congressman Andy Kim.
          "Under the strong leadership of President Biden, America is firmly committed to smart, strategic engagement in the region, understanding that a free and flourishing Indo-Pacific is crucial to prosperity in our nation and around the globe," Pelosi said.
          https://edition.cnn.com/2022/07/31/asia/pelosi-visits-hawaii-as-she-heads-on-asia-tour-hnk-intl/index.html

          Saturday, 30 July 2022

          Sri Lanka Crisis | China upset with ‘opportunist’ Colombo, warns against non-payment of debt

          The Chinese Internet is condemning Sri Lanka and accusing it of taking advantage of China. Why is the Chinese strategic community furious at Sri Lanka?

          JULY 30, 2022 / 08:11 AM IST

          China's President Xi Jinping (File image)

          Antara Ghosal Singh

          From shock to sympathy, the recent economic, political, and humanitarian crisis in Sri Lanka has elicited strong emotions across global capitals. In Beijing, however, the sentiment has been somewhat different, mostly that of anger and indignation.

          There has been largescale condemnation on the Chinese internet, of what is being called Sri Lanka’s “victim rhetoric”. There are accusations that the island nation “took advantage” of China, used it as an ATM, and is now “publicly embarrassing China”.

          The words being used for Sri Lanka and its political class are far from flattering, which include “white-eyed wolf(白眼狼), “backstabber”, “ungrateful”, “capricious”, “completely untrustworthy”, “treacherous”, and so on and so forth, and therefore, “unworthy of China’s pity or assistance”. Instead, they say, that it is time for Sri Lanka to be taught a lesson and made to pay a heavy price.

          So, why is the Chinese strategic community so furious at Sri Lanka? Why is China unwilling to provide adequate assistance to the nation, whom it once called “an all-weather friend and partner”, particularly at the time of its dire needs?

          Various articles on the Chinese internet claim that when Sri Lanka encountered the economic crisis, China had originally offered to negotiate on China’s debt, extend the repayment period, help in the “new debt to repay old debt” type of restructuring, and has even been willing to provide Sri Lanka’s US $1 billion sovereign bonds, on condition that Sri Lanka steps up cooperation with China. What kind of cooperation? On January 10, just before the upcoming 14th round of China–India military commander-level talks, Chinese State Councillor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited Sri Lanka, along with other Indian Ocean countries like Comoros and Maldives, etc. and floated the idea of holding a ‘development forum of Indian Ocean countries’, which aimed at gathering consensus, forming synergy, and thus “stringing the pearls together” in the Indian Ocean under Chinese leadership. This, he said, was a part of China’s ‘global development initiative’ proposed by President Xi Jinping in September 2021, especially meant to address the development needs of the Indian Ocean Island countries and their post-pandemic recovery and sustainable development.

          He further proposed that China–Sri Lanka make good use of the “dual-engine role of Colombo Port City and the Hambantota Port,” collaborate under the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement and discuss the re-start of the China–Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement negotiations, to release important signals to the outside world (particularly to India ). Chinese analysts at that time argued that for China a few billion dollars in loan to Sri Lanka is nothing compared to the role it can play in containing India to South Asia, enhancing China’s influence in the IOR and successfully implementing the Belt and Road Initiative.

          However, in the following months, not only did the Chinese proposals make little headway, but China got further disappointed as Sri Lanka decided to suspend foreign debt payments in April, defaulted on its debts in May, declared bankruptcy in July, and went to the IMF for assistance. Sri Lanka’s decisions, the Chinese side argues, are detrimental to Chinese interests, as it will cause serious economic losses to China.

          China had wanted Sri Lanka to keep repaying its debts, while China helped it to secure better deals at the international financial institutions, which, in a way, would have also ensured that the money continued to make its way back into the Chinese coffers. But the course that Sri Lanka has taken “under Western/Indian influence”, the Chinese side stated, has positioned it as an “economic enemy” of China, forcing it (China) to offer debt relief to Sri Lanka, under unfavourable IMF conditionalities. The Chinese side has been opposing the IMF’s condition of debt haircut (平均剃头) (which requires all the creditors to voluntarily forgive an equal amount of debt) on grounds that it will be a bigger loss for a creditor of new debts like China, while most of Sri Lanka’s existing debt is “old debt”.

          The growing chorus in Beijing is that Sri Lanka, like most other South Asian nations, is “scheming and opportunist”. It wants to benefit from China but remains highly vigilant against Chinese influence and refuses to carry out substantive and in-depth cooperation, as expected by China. It has a long history of flip-flops on the China issue and now even while getting bailed out, it is swinging between China, the West and India.

          Therefore, although Sri Lanka remains an important fulcrum of the Maritime Silk Road, it must not be allowed to hold the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to ransom, use it as a bargaining chip to force China to repay Sri Lanka’s debt to the West, India, US, Japan, and others. After all, the bankruptcy of Sri Lanka is not going to be the end of this crisis but is most likely just the beginning. And, the disposal of Sri Lanka’s debt is most likely to set a precedent and affect the settlement of China’s and other countries’ debts vis-á-vis multiple nations. China, therefore, must not allow itself to be a “scapegoat”, but instead make active efforts to scuttle Sri Lanka’s bid to obtain IMF assistance.

          What has been further irking the Chinese side is that Sri Lankan leaders including ex-President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Sri Lankan ambassador to China Palitha Kohona, among others, are publicly raising their concern from time to time over the lack of Chinese interest in helping Sri Lanka.

          This, they argue, is further strengthening the western/Indian discourse of Chinese culpability in Sri Lanka’s debt crisis as well as the economic crisis presently faced by several other developing countries and building up international pressure on China to align its stance with the Paris Club and re-consider its position on the ‘Common Framework for Debt Treatment’. All this, while China has been reportedly seeking to stall the G20 debt relief plan for distressed countries, on grounds that it wants to “cut its debt deals” with these nations before the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatments process is fully implemented.

          It is against this backdrop that one can see angry assertions on the Chinese internet claiming “China doesn’t owe Sri Lanka anything” and that “BRI is not free relief” for laggards or insincere partners. It is being argued that if Sri Lanka wants more money from China, it must repay the previously owed money, fulfil its obligation of ensuring the safety of Chinese investments in the country and not play the game of moral kidnapping. Not to mention, it must bargain from its position of a bankrupt country and not like some gold dust, trying to balance various forces, seeking to benefit from all.

          To sum up, for now, the popular discourse in China on the Sri Lankan crisis is that ‘Sri Lanka must pay back or face consequences’. As noted by some articles on the Chinese internet, with China’s strength, it is now completely possible that for debt recovery Chinese warships sail over and take control of the Colombo port and make it yet another Chinese port in Sri Lanka. Even if China chooses not to take such drastic measures to avoid global backlash, it will double down on its negotiations with Sri Lanka on the interests that China cares about the most which include joint exercises between the Chinese and the Sri Lankan Navy,  Chinese Navy being allowed to use the Sri Lankan ports for supplies, Chinese maintenance for Sri Lankan warships, dedicated piers at Sri Lankan ports for Chinese warships, or better still, if Sri Lanka agrees to a Djibouti-like transfer of rights for construction of a military base in the island nation, among others.

          Antara Ghosal Singh is Fellow at the Strategic Studies Programme at Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi. Views are personal, and do not represent the stand of this publication.


          https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/opinion/sri-lanka-crisis-china-upset-with-opportunist-sri-lanka-warns-against-non-payment-of-debt-8904561.html

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